Before migration fatigue, migration necessity

After writing my post Michael Silver, Gartner, Windows 8, and time travel, I began wondering what Silver talked about BEFORE he talked about migration fatigue. You'll recall that Michael Silver is the Gartner analyst who has been talking about "migration fatigue" since October 2010, stating that corporate America will not upgrade to Windows 8 because corporate America just upgraded to Windows 7.

So I found this April 2008 ComputerWorld article - again written by Gregg Keizer - which included Silver's then-current views.

Calling the situation "untenable" and describing Windows as "collapsing," a pair of Gartner analysts yesterday said Microsoft Corp. must make radical changes to its operating system or risk becoming a has-been.

In a presentation at a Gartner-sponsored conference in Las Vegas, analysts Michael Silver and Neil MacDonald said Microsoft has not responded to the market, is overburdened by nearly two decades of legacy code and decisions, and faces serious competition on a whole host of fronts that will make Windows moot unless the software developer acts.

"For Microsoft, its ecosystem and its customers, the situation is untenable," said Silver and MacDonald in their prepared presentation, titled "Windows Is Collapsing: How What Comes Next Will Improve."

Now to put this in context, Silver and MacDonald were speaking over a year before Windows 7 was released, so their comments applied to Windows Vista.

In April 2008, Silver's tune wasn't "migration fatigue." It was "migration necessity."

Apparently after Windows 7 came out, the necessity for migration diminished...